In the Supplementary Information, we will report the medians of the posterior distributions, but both the medians and the means are shown in this document.
The credible intervals used are 95% CI.
In the function 'mcmc_intervals':
Model M0
Main parameters
Standard deviations
Mean
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.270 |
0.210 |
5.840 |
6.631 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.602 |
0.003 |
0.597 |
0.607 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.153 |
0.003 |
-0.158 |
-0.148 |
| \(\sigma_{S}\) |
0.387 |
0.259 |
0.159 |
1.079 |
| \(\sigma_{B}\) |
0.045 |
0.007 |
0.032 |
0.061 |
| \(\sigma\) |
0.351 |
0.001 |
0.348 |
0.354 |
Figs

Variances
Mean
| \(\sigma^{2}_{S}\) |
0.217 |
0.527 |
0.025 |
1.165 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{B}\) |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.004 |
| \(\sigma^{2}\) |
0.124 |
0.001 |
0.121 |
0.126 |
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.270 |
0.210 |
5.840 |
6.631 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.602 |
0.003 |
0.597 |
0.607 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.153 |
0.003 |
-0.158 |
-0.148 |
Figs
In the Supplementary Information.

Site intercepts
Tables
Mean
| \(S_{Asturias}\) |
0.282 |
0.211 |
-0.075 |
0.716 |
| \(S_{Bordeaux}\) |
0.137 |
0.210 |
-0.229 |
0.564 |
| \(S_{Caceres}\) |
0.073 |
0.211 |
-0.292 |
0.504 |
| \(S_{Madrid}\) |
-0.361 |
0.211 |
-0.729 |
0.067 |
| \(S_{Portugal}\) |
-0.109 |
0.210 |
-0.469 |
0.322 |
Figs
MCMC intervals

Density ridges
In the Supplementary Information.

Model M1
Main parameters
Standard deviations
Mean
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.239 |
0.190 |
5.866 |
6.627 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.599 |
0.002 |
0.594 |
0.603 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.150 |
0.002 |
-0.155 |
-0.146 |
| \(\sigma_{P}\) |
0.126 |
0.020 |
0.095 |
0.171 |
| \(\sigma_{G}\) |
0.106 |
0.004 |
0.098 |
0.114 |
| \(\sigma_{S}\) |
0.396 |
0.247 |
0.169 |
1.016 |
| \(\sigma_{B}\) |
0.043 |
0.007 |
0.032 |
0.059 |
| \(\sigma\) |
0.312 |
0.001 |
0.309 |
0.314 |
Figs

Variances
Mean
| \(\sigma^{2}_{P}\) |
0.016 |
0.005 |
0.009 |
0.029 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{G}\) |
0.011 |
0.001 |
0.010 |
0.013 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{S}\) |
0.218 |
0.540 |
0.028 |
1.032 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{B}\) |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
| \(\sigma^{2}\) |
0.097 |
0.001 |
0.095 |
0.099 |
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.239 |
0.190 |
5.866 |
6.627 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.599 |
0.002 |
0.594 |
0.603 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.150 |
0.002 |
-0.155 |
-0.146 |
Figs
In the Supplementary Information.

Site intercepts
Tables
Mean
| \(S_{Asturias}\) |
0.304 |
0.189 |
-0.078 |
0.679 |
| \(S_{Bordeaux}\) |
0.156 |
0.190 |
-0.227 |
0.530 |
| \(S_{Caceres}\) |
0.043 |
0.190 |
-0.342 |
0.426 |
| \(S_{Madrid}\) |
-0.373 |
0.190 |
-0.763 |
0.004 |
| \(S_{Portugal}\) |
-0.095 |
0.190 |
-0.474 |
0.291 |
Figs
MCMC intervals

Density ridges
In the Supplementary Information.

Conditional effect of age
In the Supplementary Information.

Provenance intercepts
Table
Mean
| \(P_{ALT}\) |
0.094 |
0.043 |
0.011 |
0.182 |
| \(P_{ARM}\) |
0.125 |
0.044 |
0.039 |
0.213 |
| \(P_{ARN}\) |
-0.088 |
0.036 |
-0.159 |
-0.017 |
| \(P_{BAY}\) |
-0.142 |
0.035 |
-0.212 |
-0.074 |
| \(P_{BON}\) |
-0.044 |
0.041 |
-0.125 |
0.036 |
| \(P_{CAR}\) |
-0.175 |
0.049 |
-0.269 |
-0.079 |
| \(P_{CAS}\) |
0.043 |
0.041 |
-0.036 |
0.125 |
| \(P_{CEN}\) |
0.015 |
0.043 |
-0.071 |
0.100 |
| \(P_{COM}\) |
0.068 |
0.055 |
-0.037 |
0.181 |
| \(P_{CUE}\) |
-0.181 |
0.032 |
-0.243 |
-0.119 |
| \(P_{HOU}\) |
0.154 |
0.032 |
0.092 |
0.217 |
| \(P_{LAM}\) |
0.002 |
0.041 |
-0.080 |
0.081 |
| \(P_{LEI}\) |
0.035 |
0.032 |
-0.025 |
0.099 |
| \(P_{MAD}\) |
0.031 |
0.085 |
-0.136 |
0.198 |
| \(P_{OLB}\) |
0.040 |
0.033 |
-0.024 |
0.105 |
| \(P_{OLO}\) |
0.151 |
0.033 |
0.084 |
0.216 |
| \(P_{ORI}\) |
-0.132 |
0.032 |
-0.197 |
-0.069 |
| \(P_{PET}\) |
0.115 |
0.034 |
0.051 |
0.181 |
| \(P_{PIA}\) |
0.083 |
0.036 |
0.012 |
0.151 |
| \(P_{PIE}\) |
-0.094 |
0.043 |
-0.178 |
-0.010 |
| \(P_{PUE}\) |
0.067 |
0.043 |
-0.014 |
0.152 |
| \(P_{SAL}\) |
-0.193 |
0.037 |
-0.265 |
-0.121 |
| \(P_{SEG}\) |
0.005 |
0.034 |
-0.062 |
0.073 |
| \(P_{SIE}\) |
-0.007 |
0.044 |
-0.092 |
0.082 |
| \(P_{STJ}\) |
0.168 |
0.032 |
0.104 |
0.232 |
| \(P_{TAM}\) |
-0.241 |
0.036 |
-0.311 |
-0.169 |
| \(P_{VAL}\) |
-0.057 |
0.038 |
-0.134 |
0.017 |
| \(P_{VER}\) |
0.100 |
0.032 |
0.038 |
0.164 |
Figs
Density Ridges

Model M2
Main parameters
Standard deviations
Mean
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.227 |
0.226 |
5.777 |
6.686 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.598 |
0.002 |
0.593 |
0.603 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.150 |
0.002 |
-0.155 |
-0.145 |
| \(\sigma_{P}\) |
0.120 |
0.020 |
0.087 |
0.164 |
| \(\sigma_{G}\) |
0.106 |
0.004 |
0.098 |
0.115 |
| \(\sigma_{Inter}\) |
0.070 |
0.007 |
0.057 |
0.084 |
| \(\sigma_{S}\) |
0.431 |
0.288 |
0.174 |
1.238 |
| \(\sigma_{B}\) |
0.043 |
0.007 |
0.031 |
0.058 |
| \(\sigma\) |
0.309 |
0.001 |
0.306 |
0.311 |
Figs

Variances
Mean
| \(\sigma^{2}_{P}\) |
0.015 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.027 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{G}\) |
0.011 |
0.001 |
0.010 |
0.013 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{Inter}\) |
0.005 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
0.007 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{S}\) |
0.269 |
0.584 |
0.030 |
1.532 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{B}\) |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
| \(\sigma^{2}\) |
0.095 |
0.001 |
0.094 |
0.097 |
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.227 |
0.226 |
5.777 |
6.686 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.598 |
0.002 |
0.593 |
0.603 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.150 |
0.002 |
-0.155 |
-0.145 |
Figs
In the Supplementary Information.

Site intercepts
Tables
Mean
| \(S_{Asturias}\) |
0.319 |
0.225 |
-0.134 |
0.770 |
| \(S_{Bordeaux}\) |
0.154 |
0.224 |
-0.304 |
0.597 |
| \(S_{Caceres}\) |
0.034 |
0.226 |
-0.428 |
0.488 |
| \(S_{Madrid}\) |
-0.380 |
0.225 |
-0.838 |
0.062 |
| \(S_{Portugal}\) |
-0.087 |
0.225 |
-0.541 |
0.360 |
Figs
MCMC intervals

Provenance intercepts
ALL
Portugal
Caceres
Madrid
Bordeaux
Asturias
Merging the plots
In the Supplementary Information.

MODEL M7
Main parameters
Standard deviations
Mean
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.315 |
0.345 |
5.624 |
7.068 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.600 |
0.003 |
0.595 |
0.605 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.151 |
0.002 |
-0.156 |
-0.147 |
| \(\sigma_{B}\) |
0.044 |
0.007 |
0.032 |
0.061 |
| \(\sigma_{g_{j}}\) |
0.190 |
0.098 |
0.089 |
0.442 |
| \(\sigma_{S}\) |
0.491 |
0.329 |
0.190 |
1.388 |
| \(\sigma_{\beta_{max.temp,s}}\) |
0.034 |
0.020 |
0.009 |
0.083 |
| \(\sigma_{\beta_{min.pre,s}}\) |
0.034 |
0.021 |
0.009 |
0.085 |
| \(\sigma_{\beta_{gPEA,s}}\) |
0.158 |
0.083 |
0.072 |
0.369 |
| \(\sigma\) |
0.321 |
0.001 |
0.318 |
0.323 |
Figs

Variances
Mean
| \(\sigma^{2}_{B}\) |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.004 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{g_{j}}\) |
0.046 |
0.076 |
0.008 |
0.195 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{S}\) |
0.349 |
0.837 |
0.036 |
1.926 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{\beta_{max.temp,s}}\) |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.000 |
0.007 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{\beta_{min.pre,s}}\) |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.000 |
0.007 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{\beta_{gPEA,s}}\) |
0.032 |
0.055 |
0.005 |
0.136 |
| \(\sigma^{2}\) |
0.103 |
0.001 |
0.101 |
0.104 |
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.315 |
0.345 |
5.624 |
7.068 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.600 |
0.003 |
0.595 |
0.605 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.151 |
0.002 |
-0.156 |
-0.147 |
Figs
In the Supplementary Information.

Gene pool intercepts
Table
| \(g_{NA}\) |
-0.218 |
0.090 |
-0.391 |
-0.044 |
| \(g_{C}\) |
0.029 |
0.090 |
-0.142 |
0.206 |
| \(g_{CS}\) |
-0.080 |
0.089 |
-0.253 |
0.099 |
| \(g_{FA}\) |
0.164 |
0.090 |
-0.006 |
0.344 |
| \(g_{IA}\) |
0.094 |
0.090 |
-0.080 |
0.274 |
| \(g_{SES}\) |
0.032 |
0.090 |
-0.140 |
0.207 |
Figs
MCMC intervals

Density ridges

Maximum temperature of the warmest month
Table
| \(\beta_{max.temp,Asturias}\) |
-0.006 |
0.005 |
-0.016 |
0.004 |
| \(\beta_{max.temp,Bordeaux}\) |
-0.007 |
0.006 |
-0.019 |
0.005 |
| \(\beta_{max.temp,Caceres}\) |
0.014 |
0.019 |
-0.020 |
0.055 |
| \(\beta_{max.temp,Madrid}\) |
0.050 |
0.019 |
0.013 |
0.087 |
| \(\beta_{max.temp,Portugal}\) |
0.004 |
0.005 |
-0.005 |
0.014 |
Figs

Minimum precipitation of the driest month
Table
| \(\beta_{min.pre,Asturias}\) |
-0.001 |
0.006 |
-0.013 |
0.011 |
| \(\beta_{min.pre,Bordeaux}\) |
0.010 |
0.007 |
-0.005 |
0.024 |
| \(\beta_{min.pre,Caceres}\) |
0.028 |
0.019 |
-0.005 |
0.070 |
| \(\beta_{min.pre,Madrid}\) |
0.049 |
0.019 |
0.012 |
0.084 |
| \(\beta_{min.pre,Portugal}\) |
0.009 |
0.006 |
-0.002 |
0.021 |
Figs

gPEAs
= global Positive effect alleles
Table
| \(\beta_{gPEA,Asturias}\) |
0.082 |
0.003 |
0.076 |
0.088 |
| \(\beta_{gPEA,Bordeaux}\) |
0.091 |
0.004 |
0.082 |
0.100 |
| \(\beta_{gPEA,Caceres}\) |
0.115 |
0.019 |
0.079 |
0.153 |
| \(\beta_{gPEA,Madrid}\) |
0.127 |
0.011 |
0.105 |
0.149 |
| \(\beta_{gPEA,Portugal}\) |
0.107 |
0.003 |
0.100 |
0.113 |
Figs

MODEL M8
Main parameters
Standard deviations
Mean
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.345 |
0.366 |
5.602 |
7.106 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.600 |
0.003 |
0.595 |
0.605 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.151 |
0.002 |
-0.156 |
-0.147 |
| \(\sigma_{B}\) |
0.043 |
0.007 |
0.031 |
0.058 |
| \(\sigma_{g_{j}}\) |
0.207 |
0.102 |
0.099 |
0.473 |
| \(\sigma_{S}\) |
0.547 |
0.388 |
0.202 |
1.538 |
| \(\sigma_{\beta_{max.temp,s}}\) |
0.062 |
0.029 |
0.028 |
0.139 |
| \(\sigma_{\beta_{min.pre,s}}\) |
0.049 |
0.025 |
0.021 |
0.117 |
| \(\sigma_{\beta_{rPEA,s}}\) |
0.209 |
0.108 |
0.099 |
0.491 |
| \(\sigma\) |
0.318 |
0.001 |
0.315 |
0.320 |
Figs

Variances
Mean
| \(\sigma^{2}_{B}\) |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{g_{j}}\) |
0.053 |
0.075 |
0.010 |
0.224 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{S}\) |
0.449 |
1.195 |
0.041 |
2.366 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{\beta_{max.temp,s}}\) |
0.005 |
0.006 |
0.001 |
0.019 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{\beta_{min.pre,s}}\) |
0.003 |
0.004 |
0.000 |
0.014 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{\beta_{rPEA,s}}\) |
0.055 |
0.085 |
0.010 |
0.241 |
| \(\sigma^{2}\) |
0.101 |
0.001 |
0.099 |
0.103 |
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.345 |
0.366 |
5.602 |
7.106 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.600 |
0.003 |
0.595 |
0.605 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.151 |
0.002 |
-0.156 |
-0.147 |
Figs
In the Supplementary Information.

Gene pool intercepts
Table
| \(g_{NA}\) |
-0.239 |
0.097 |
-0.425 |
-0.048 |
| \(g_{C}\) |
0.056 |
0.097 |
-0.128 |
0.248 |
| \(g_{CS}\) |
-0.081 |
0.097 |
-0.265 |
0.110 |
| \(g_{FA}\) |
0.168 |
0.097 |
-0.018 |
0.359 |
| \(g_{IA}\) |
0.120 |
0.097 |
-0.065 |
0.310 |
| \(g_{SES}\) |
0.004 |
0.097 |
-0.179 |
0.199 |
Figs
MCMC intervals

Density ridges

Maximum temperature of the warmest month
Table
| \(\beta_{max.temp,Asturias}\) |
0.000 |
0.005 |
-0.010 |
0.010 |
| \(\beta_{max.temp,Bordeaux}\) |
-0.005 |
0.007 |
-0.018 |
0.008 |
| \(\beta_{max.temp,Caceres}\) |
0.040 |
0.023 |
-0.002 |
0.086 |
| \(\beta_{max.temp,Madrid}\) |
0.094 |
0.016 |
0.062 |
0.127 |
| \(\beta_{max.temp,Portugal}\) |
0.008 |
0.005 |
-0.001 |
0.018 |
Figs

Minimum precipitation of the driest month
Table
| \(\beta_{min.pre,Asturias}\) |
-0.014 |
0.006 |
-0.025 |
-0.002 |
| \(\beta_{min.pre,Bordeaux}\) |
0.023 |
0.007 |
0.009 |
0.037 |
| \(\beta_{min.pre,Caceres}\) |
0.029 |
0.021 |
-0.010 |
0.072 |
| \(\beta_{min.pre,Madrid}\) |
0.060 |
0.016 |
0.030 |
0.091 |
| \(\beta_{min.pre,Portugal}\) |
-0.008 |
0.006 |
-0.019 |
0.003 |
Figs

rPEAs
Table
| \(\beta_{rPEA,Asturias}\) |
0.102 |
0.004 |
0.095 |
0.110 |
| \(\beta_{rPEA,Bordeaux}\) |
0.109 |
0.005 |
0.100 |
0.119 |
| \(\beta_{rPEA,Caceres}\) |
0.156 |
0.020 |
0.117 |
0.196 |
| \(\beta_{rPEA,Madrid}\) |
0.200 |
0.012 |
0.178 |
0.224 |
| \(\beta_{rPEA,Portugal}\) |
0.127 |
0.004 |
0.120 |
0.134 |
Figs

Model M9
Main parameters
Standard deviations
Mean
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.229 |
0.217 |
5.802 |
6.647 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.602 |
0.003 |
0.597 |
0.608 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.153 |
0.003 |
-0.158 |
-0.148 |
| \(\sigma_{g_{j}}\) |
0.190 |
0.101 |
0.089 |
0.446 |
| \(\sigma_{S}\) |
0.394 |
0.248 |
0.163 |
1.010 |
| \(\sigma_{B}\) |
0.045 |
0.007 |
0.033 |
0.061 |
| \(\sigma\) |
0.335 |
0.001 |
0.332 |
0.337 |
Figs

Variances
Mean
| \(\sigma^{2}_{g_{j}}\) |
0.046 |
0.083 |
0.008 |
0.199 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{S}\) |
0.217 |
0.622 |
0.027 |
1.019 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{B}\) |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.004 |
| \(\sigma^{2}\) |
0.112 |
0.001 |
0.110 |
0.114 |
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.229 |
0.217 |
5.802 |
6.647 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.602 |
0.003 |
0.597 |
0.608 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.153 |
0.003 |
-0.158 |
-0.148 |
Figs

Gene pool intercepts
Table
Mean
| \(g_{NA}\) |
-0.206 |
0.089 |
-0.374 |
-0.018 |
| \(g_{C}\) |
0.054 |
0.089 |
-0.108 |
0.242 |
| \(g_{CS}\) |
-0.074 |
0.088 |
-0.236 |
0.113 |
| \(g_{FA}\) |
0.178 |
0.088 |
0.014 |
0.366 |
| \(g_{IA}\) |
0.087 |
0.088 |
-0.080 |
0.274 |
| \(g_{SES}\) |
-0.013 |
0.089 |
-0.178 |
0.175 |
Figs

MODEL M10
Main parameters
Standard deviations
Mean
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.222 |
0.456 |
5.194 |
7.075 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.602 |
0.003 |
0.597 |
0.607 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.153 |
0.003 |
-0.158 |
-0.148 |
| \(\sigma_{B}\) |
0.044 |
0.007 |
0.032 |
0.060 |
| \(\sigma_{S}\) |
0.555 |
0.457 |
0.190 |
1.734 |
| \(\sigma_{\beta_{max.temp,s}}\) |
0.083 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.186 |
| \(\sigma_{\beta_{min.pre,s}}\) |
0.091 |
0.047 |
0.041 |
0.202 |
| \(\sigma\) |
0.337 |
0.001 |
0.334 |
0.339 |
Figs

Variances
Mean
| \(\sigma^{2}_{B}\) |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.004 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{S}\) |
0.517 |
1.789 |
0.036 |
3.006 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{\beta_{max.temp,s}}\) |
0.009 |
0.011 |
0.002 |
0.035 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{\beta_{min.pre,s}}\) |
0.010 |
0.018 |
0.002 |
0.041 |
| \(\sigma^{2}\) |
0.113 |
0.001 |
0.111 |
0.115 |
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.222 |
0.456 |
5.194 |
7.075 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.602 |
0.003 |
0.597 |
0.607 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.153 |
0.003 |
-0.158 |
-0.148 |
Figs
In the Supplementary Information.

Maximum temperature of the warmest month
Table
| \(\beta_{max.temp,Asturias}\) |
-0.068 |
0.005 |
-0.077 |
-0.059 |
| \(\beta_{max.temp,Bordeaux}\) |
-0.071 |
0.006 |
-0.083 |
-0.059 |
| \(\beta_{max.temp,Caceres}\) |
-0.048 |
0.022 |
-0.091 |
-0.005 |
| \(\beta_{max.temp,Madrid}\) |
0.003 |
0.016 |
-0.029 |
0.035 |
| \(\beta_{max.temp,Portugal}\) |
-0.062 |
0.004 |
-0.071 |
-0.053 |
Figs

Minimum precipitation of the driest month
Table
| \(\beta_{min.pre,Asturias}\) |
0.038 |
0.005 |
0.029 |
0.047 |
| \(\beta_{min.pre,Bordeaux}\) |
0.052 |
0.006 |
0.040 |
0.065 |
| \(\beta_{min.pre,Caceres}\) |
0.062 |
0.021 |
0.022 |
0.104 |
| \(\beta_{min.pre,Madrid}\) |
0.093 |
0.016 |
0.063 |
0.125 |
| \(\beta_{min.pre,Portugal}\) |
0.045 |
0.004 |
0.036 |
0.053 |
Figs

Both

Model M11
Main parameters
Standard deviations
Mean
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.452 |
0.677 |
5.164 |
7.956 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.600 |
0.003 |
0.594 |
0.605 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.151 |
0.003 |
-0.156 |
-0.146 |
| \(\sigma_{B}\) |
0.044 |
0.007 |
0.032 |
0.060 |
| \(\sigma_{S}\) |
0.715 |
0.615 |
0.196 |
2.366 |
| \(\sigma_{\beta_{gPEA,s}}\) |
0.132 |
0.064 |
0.064 |
0.292 |
| \(\sigma\) |
0.339 |
0.001 |
0.336 |
0.342 |
Figs

Variances
Mean
| \(\sigma^{2}_{B}\) |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.004 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{S}\) |
0.890 |
2.482 |
0.038 |
5.597 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{\beta_{gPEA,s}}\) |
0.021 |
0.031 |
0.004 |
0.085 |
| \(\sigma^{2}\) |
0.115 |
0.001 |
0.113 |
0.117 |
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.452 |
0.677 |
5.164 |
7.956 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.600 |
0.003 |
0.594 |
0.605 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.151 |
0.003 |
-0.156 |
-0.146 |
Figs
In the Supplementary Information.

gPEAs
= global Positive effect alleles
Table
| \(\beta_{gPEA,Asturias}\) |
0.079 |
0.003 |
0.073 |
0.086 |
| \(\beta_{gPEA,Bordeaux}\) |
0.099 |
0.005 |
0.090 |
0.108 |
| \(\beta_{gPEA,Caceres}\) |
0.091 |
0.019 |
0.054 |
0.127 |
| \(\beta_{gPEA,Madrid}\) |
0.109 |
0.012 |
0.085 |
0.133 |
| \(\beta_{gPEA,Portugal}\) |
0.101 |
0.003 |
0.095 |
0.108 |
Figs


Model M12
Main parameters
Standard deviations
Mean
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.612 |
0.532 |
5.620 |
7.714 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.599 |
0.003 |
0.594 |
0.605 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.151 |
0.003 |
-0.156 |
-0.146 |
| \(\sigma_{B}\) |
0.043 |
0.007 |
0.031 |
0.058 |
| \(\sigma_{S}\) |
0.738 |
0.579 |
0.205 |
2.158 |
| \(\sigma_{\beta_{rPEA,s}}\) |
0.184 |
0.097 |
0.088 |
0.421 |
| \(\sigma\) |
0.335 |
0.001 |
0.332 |
0.338 |
Figs

Variances
Mean
| \(\sigma^{2}_{B}\) |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{S}\) |
0.880 |
2.743 |
0.042 |
4.656 |
| \(\sigma^{2}_{\beta_{rPEA,s}}\) |
0.043 |
0.083 |
0.008 |
0.177 |
| \(\sigma^{2}\) |
0.112 |
0.001 |
0.110 |
0.114 |
| \(\beta_{0}\) |
6.612 |
0.532 |
5.620 |
7.714 |
| \(\beta_{age}\) |
0.599 |
0.003 |
0.594 |
0.605 |
| \(\beta_{age2}\) |
-0.151 |
0.003 |
-0.156 |
-0.146 |
Figs
In the Supplementary Information.

rPEAs
= region-specific Positive effect alleles
Table
| \(\beta_{rPEA,Asturias}\) |
0.109 |
0.004 |
0.101 |
0.116 |
| \(\beta_{rPEA,Bordeaux}\) |
0.093 |
0.005 |
0.084 |
0.102 |
| \(\beta_{rPEA,Caceres}\) |
0.138 |
0.020 |
0.100 |
0.178 |
| \(\beta_{rPEA,Madrid}\) |
0.179 |
0.012 |
0.156 |
0.203 |
| \(\beta_{rPEA,Portugal}\) |
0.132 |
0.004 |
0.125 |
0.139 |
Figs

